Emelec vs Independiente del Valle: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 24, 2025 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Full time
What was the result of Emelec vs Independiente del Valle?
Independiente del Valle won 0-1 on August 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′C. SpinelliIndependiente del Valle
Official lineup for Emelec vs Independiente del Valle
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Emelec
4-2-3-1- 26José Enrique Angulo Caicedo
- 9F. Castelli
- 10C. Cueva
- 21A. González
- 4A. Barco
- 6S. Quintero
- 30J. Castillo
- 16D. Bagüí
- 27F. León
- 14R. Caicedo
- 12P. Ortíz
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1- 77C. Spinelli
- 31Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
- 10J. Sornoza
- 32J. Méndez
- 30Alex Renato Ibarra Mina
- 6J. Alcívar
- 15G. Cortéz
- 5R. Schunke
- 14M. Carabajal
- 13M. Fernández
- 22G. Villar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Libertad(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Miguel Iturralde(away) | 1-1 | Copa Ecuador |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 4-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Orense SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Imbabura(away) | 1-0 | Copa Ecuador |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Emelec win, 1 draw, 4 Independiente del Valle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Independiente del Valle 1-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Emelec 2-3 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Jul 18, 2022 | Emelec 2-3 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Independiente del Valle vs Emelec on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.6 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 10th in Liga Pro (39 points from 32 matches) and Independiente del Valle sit 1st (77 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del ValleLiga Pro: Championship Group | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 77 |
| 10 | EmelecLiga Pro: Placement Group | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 39 | 39 |
A question about Emelec vs Independiente del Valle?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy