Independiente del Valle vs Emelec: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 11Kick-off on May 4, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Independiente del Valle vs Emelec?
Emelec won 1-2 on May 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 41′F. CastelliEmelec
- 59′M. HoyosIndependiente del Valle
- 90′C. ValenciaEmelec
Official lineup for Independiente del Valle vs Emelec
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1- 11M. Hoyos
- 31Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
- 21J. Arroyo
- 10J. Sornoza
- 18C. Zabala
- 32J. Méndez
- 15G. Cortéz
- 4O. Quiñonez
- 2L. Zárate
- 13M. Fernández
- 22G. Villar
Emelec
3-4-2-1- 14R. Caicedo
- 9F. Castelli
- 11J. Sánchez
- 88J. Quiñonez
- 80E. Muñoz
- 25R. Garcés
- 19J. Ruíz
- 20J. Rodríguez
- 21A. González
- 16D. Bagüí
- 12P. Ortíz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Emelec have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Orense SC(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 24, 2025 | River Plate(home) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Manta FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 14, 2025 | El Nacional(away) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Universitario(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Libertad(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Manta FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Independiente del Valle wins, 1 draw, 1 Emelec win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Emelec 2-3 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Jul 18, 2022 | Emelec 2-3 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Feb 28, 2022 | Independiente del Valle 0-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Independiente del Valle vs Emelec on Sep 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 0.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Emelec | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente del Valle sit 1st in Liga Pro (77 points from 31 matches) and Emelec sit 10th (39 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del ValleLiga Pro: Championship Group | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 77 |
| 10 | EmelecLiga Pro: Placement Group | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 28 | 39 | 39 |
A question about Independiente del Valle vs Emelec?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy