Emelec vs Independiente del Valle: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Full time
What was the result of Emelec vs Independiente del Valle?
Emelec won 2-0 on March 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 19′I. GuerricoEmelec
- 24′R. CaicedoEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Delfin SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-5 | Liga Pro |
| Dec 16, 2025 | El Nacional(home) | 5-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aucas(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Manta FC(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(home) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Emelec win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Independiente del Valle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Emelec 0-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| May 4, 2025 | Independiente del Valle 1-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Emelec 2-3 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Emelec vs Independiente del Valle on Aug 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 26 matches) and Independiente del Valle sit 1st (67 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy