Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 7Kick-off on March 18, 2012 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Full time
What was the result of Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario?
Emelec won 2-1 on March 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 11′William Francisco Araujo OgonagaTecnico Universitario
- 35′E. MeraEmelec
- 59′Á. MenaEmelec
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Tecnico Universitario have 1, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2012 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 25, 2012 | Manta FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 12, 2012 | Macara(home) | 3-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 5, 2012 | CD Olmedo(away) | 2-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2012 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Deportivo Quito(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 25, 2012 | CD Olmedo(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 12, 2012 | Barcelona SC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 5, 2012 | El Nacional(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; Tecnico Universitario score 1.0 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Tecnico Universitario | 1.0 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 26 matches) and Tecnico Universitario sit 14th (26 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 29 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23 | 37 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy