Emmen vs Waalwijk: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)De Oude Meerdijk, Emmen
The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Waalwijk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Emmen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Emmen vs Waalwijk?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Emmen (1,669) and Waalwijk (1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Emmen vs Waalwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Emmen
4-2-3-1- 9J. Cooper
- 22M. Breij
- 40S. Veldhuis
- 7T. Rhein
- 6C. Staring
- 12F. Quispel
- 17B. Van Hove
- 3Y. Dede-Lhomme
- 24L. Everink
- 25R. Kongolo
- 1S. Karssies
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 8J. Nap
- 7R. Fage
- 6L. Postma
- 10T. van Leeuwen
- 93V. Misidjan
- 30J. de Wijs
- 55N. Held
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 1N. Schiks
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emmen have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Waalwijk have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Emmen win, 3 draws, 2 Waalwijk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Waalwijk 1-1 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Waalwijk 5-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Emmen 2-2 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Waalwijk 2-0 Emmen | Eredivisie |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Emmen 1-1 Waalwijk | Eredivisie |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Emmen 3-1 Waalwijk | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Waalwijk score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Waalwijk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emmen sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (19 points from 10 matches) and Waalwijk sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Emmen vs Waalwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Emmen vs Waalwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Emmen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Waalwijk.
- Where and when is Emmen vs Waalwijk played?
- Emmen vs Waalwijk is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at De Oude Meerdijk, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.