Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Toekomst, Amsterdam-Duivendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Jong Ajax. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dordrecht wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Jong Ajax (1,515) and Dordrecht (1,595).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Ajax
4-3-3- 9E. Ünüvar
- 11P. Nash
- 7Leo Salazar
- 8Mohamed Abdalla
- 10Alejandro Monserrate
- 6M. Verkuijl
- 4M. Muzungu
- 2R. van de Pavert
- 5Sinclair de Falco
- 3G. Spina
- 1C. Setford
Dordrecht
4-2-3-1- 77D. Šits
- 21M. Vetkal
- 11N. Rossi
- 6L. Riccio
- 8Senne Vugts
- 10A. Ouarghi
- 4J. Pinas
- 3S. Henderikx
- 5C. Mpanzu
- 22J. van Aken
- 28T. Coremans
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Ajax have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Dordrecht have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jong Ajax win, 2 draws, 3 Dordrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dordrecht 2-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Dordrecht 0-1 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Jong Ajax 0-0 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Dordrecht 3-0 Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Jong Ajax 0-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 29, 2024 | Jong Ajax 2-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Ajax score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dordrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Ajax | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dordrecht | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Ajax sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (8 points from 10 matches) and Dordrecht sit 19th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 8 |
A question about Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Jong Ajax.
- Where and when is Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht played?
- Jong Ajax vs Dordrecht is played on January 11, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Toekomst, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.