Heracles vs NAC Breda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for NAC Breda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heracles wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs NAC Breda?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Heracles (1,826) and NAC Breda (1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heracles vs NAC Breda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heracles
4-2-3-1- 27J. N'djoli
- 7C. Abbas
- 32S. Scheperman
- 17T. van Gilst
- 18M. Hauswirth
- 5D. van der Kust
- 4D. Mirani
- 25Manny
- 14M. Wrusch
- 15David Vicente
- 1F. de Keijzer
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; NAC Breda have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heracles wins, 1 draw, 2 NAC Breda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Heracles 0-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Oct 29, 2025 | NAC Breda 1-4 Heracles | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2025 | NAC Breda 2-1 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NAC Breda 1-1 Heracles | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Heracles 2-0 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| May 12, 2023 | NAC Breda 0-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Heracles vs NAC Breda on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 1st in Eerste Divisie (25 points from 10 matches) and NAC Breda sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Heracles vs NAC Breda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs NAC Breda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heracles the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for NAC Breda.
- Where and when is Heracles vs NAC Breda played?
- Heracles vs NAC Breda is played on January 10, 2027 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.