Den Bosch vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for De Graafschap. The most likely score is 1-1. If Den Bosch wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs De Graafschap?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Den Bosch (1,634) and De Graafschap (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Den Bosch vs De Graafschap
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Den Bosch
4-3-3- 8K. Monzialo
- 9S. Karlsson Grach
- 11J. De Vries
- 10Devon Decorte
- 18H. Eikelboom
- 16Wang Bohao
- 22Jeffry Fortes
- 33M. Laros
- 25Silvan Broker
- 3S. Maas
- 1P. van de Merbel
De Graafschap
4-2-3-1- 9J. Kania
- 8D. Warmerdam
- 21K. Symons
- 10F. de Jong
- 7Bjorn van Zijl
- 23M. Diemers
- 3R. Besselink
- 16N. Martens
- 2J. Wieckhoff
- 15T. Kok
- 1T. Wieggers
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dordrecht(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Helmond Sport(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Den Bosch wins, 2 draws, 4 De Graafschap wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | De Graafschap 1-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2026 | De Graafschap 1-1 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Den Bosch 1-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 7, 2025 | De Graafschap 1-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Den Bosch 2-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 23, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Den Bosch on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 1.6 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| De Graafschap | 1.6 | 3.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 14th in Eerste Divisie (11 points from 10 matches) and De Graafschap sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Den Bosch vs De Graafschap?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab AI model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for De Graafschap.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs De Graafschap played?
- Den Bosch vs De Graafschap is played on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.