Den Bosch vs De Graafschap: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for De Graafschap. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs De Graafschap?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Den Bosch (1,686) and De Graafschap (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; De Graafschap have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Helmond Sport(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Den Bosch win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 De Graafschap win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | De Graafschap 1-1 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Den Bosch 1-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 7, 2025 | De Graafschap 1-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Den Bosch 2-2 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 23, 2024 | De Graafschap 2-0 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Den Bosch 0-4 De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: De Graafschap vs Den Bosch on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; De Graafschap score 2.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| De Graafschap | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 9th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and De Graafschap sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | De Graafschap | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs De Graafschap?
- The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for De Graafschap.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs De Graafschap played?
- Den Bosch vs De Graafschap is played on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.