England vs Croatia: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague A - 6Kick-off on November 18, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
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What was the result of England vs Croatia?
England won 2-1 on November 18, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 57′A. KramarićCroatia
- 78′J. LingardEngland
- 85′H. KaneEngland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, England have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Croatia have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | USA(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Spain(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2018 | Croatia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Switzerland(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Spain(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | Spain(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Jordan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2018 | England(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Spain(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Portugal(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 England win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Croatia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2018 | Croatia 0-0 England | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 11, 2018 | Croatia 2-1 England | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
England score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Croatia | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy