Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Chornomorets: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, Ternopil
The Footlab model makes Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Chornomorets?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Epitsentr Dunayivtsi (1,797) and Chornomorets (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Chornomorets have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | To4ka Odessa(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit 6th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Chornomorets sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Chornomorets?
- The Footlab model makes Epitsentr Dunayivtsi the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Chornomorets played?
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Chornomorets is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.