Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes Karpaty the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Zorya Luhansk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karpaty wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,242 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Zorya Luhansk (1,936) and Karpaty (1,995).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zorya Luhansk
4-2-3-1- 28P. Budkivskyi
- 27D. Jelavić
- 30I. Nesterenko
- 18M. Boyko
- 8K. Dryshlyuk
- 88S. Bah
- 44I. Perduta
- 39Artem Machelyuk
- 77B. Kushnirenko
- 55Jordan
- 1O. Saputin
Karpaty
4-1-4-1- 9J. Séry
- 8A. Chachua
- 10Moha
- 17R. Vantukh
- 70Xeber Alkain
- 7Fellipe Vieira
- 47Jean Pedroso
- 4V. Baboglo
- 14Iván Calero
- 73R. Lyakh
- 80R. Mysak
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 03:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zorya Luhansk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Karpaty have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Zorya Luhansk wins, 0 draws, 0 Karpaty wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Karpaty 1-2 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk 1-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Karpaty 1-3 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Zorya Luhansk 2-0 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Karpaty 0-1 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zorya Luhansk score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Karpaty score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Karpaty | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zorya Luhansk sit 7th in Premier League (14 points from 9 matches) and Karpaty sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karpaty | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 15 |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karpaty the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Zorya Luhansk.
- Where and when is Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty played?
- Zorya Luhansk vs Karpaty is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.