Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,608 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Dynamo Kyiv starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,082 vs 1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chornomorets
4-2-3-1- 99C. Mba
- 11K. Popov
- 18G. Robakidze
- 13V. Faraseenko
- 10A. Avagimyan
- 30M. Jobe
- 24M. Jarju
- 27O. Pushkarev
- 74M. Farina
- 60M. Melnychenko
- 12C. Aniagboso
Dynamo Kyiv
4-1-4-1- 11M. Ponomarenko
- 22V. Kabaev
- 7A. Yarmolenko
- 21J. Lonwijk
- 6V. Brazhko
- 15V. Rubchynskyi
- 32T. Mykhavko
- 44V. Dubinchak
- 94T. Kędziora
- 5O. Sych
- 1H. Bushchan
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Dynamo Kyiv have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chornomorets wins, 1 draw, 3 Dynamo Kyiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Chornomorets 1-1 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 3-1 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Dynamo Kyiv 1-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Chornomorets 3-2 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
| May 13, 2023 | Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Chornomorets 0-3 Dynamo Kyiv | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chornomorets score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Kyiv score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chornomorets sit 14th in Premier League (5 points from 8 matches) and Dynamo Kyiv sit 3rd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 14 | Chornomorets | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dynamo Kyiv the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv played?
- Chornomorets vs Dynamo Kyiv is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.