Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo
Full time
What was the result of Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia?
Equatorial Guinea won 1-0 on October 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 34′Iban SalvadorEquatorial Guinea (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Equatorial Guinea have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Liberia have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2024 | Togo(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Algeria(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 10, 2024 | Malawi(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Tunisia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2024 | Algeria(home) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Togo(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Sao Tome and Principe(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Namibia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Djibouti(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Equatorial Guinea win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Liberia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2019 | Liberia 1-1 Equatorial Guinea | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: Liberia vs Equatorial Guinea on Jul 20, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Equatorial Guinea score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liberia score 0.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Liberia | 0.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Equatorial Guinea sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (8 points from 6 matches) and Liberia sit 4th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 4 | Liberia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy