Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo
The Footlab AI model makes Equatorial Guinea the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Zimbabwe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Equatorial Guinea wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Equatorial Guinea (1,499) and Zimbabwe (1,462).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Equatorial Guinea
4-4-2- 9Dorian Hanza
- 10Loren Zúñiga
- 14Álex Balboa
- 22Pablo Ganet
- 20Santiago Eneme
- 4Féderico Bikoro
- 16Saúl Coco
- 21Esteban Obiang
- 12Charles Ondo
- 24Rony Mbomio
- 1Jesús Owono
Zimbabwe
4-4-2- 20T. Chirewa
- 9T. Ngwenya
- 8M. Munetsi
- 18M. Nakamba
- 19Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
- 14B. Antonio
- 4M. Garananga
- 2Shane Maroodza
- 10A. Rinomhota
- 12C. Mthunzi
- 1E. Chipezeze
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 05:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Equatorial Guinea have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Zimbabwe have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Sierra Leone(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Madagascar(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Congo DR(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Sierra Leone(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| May 30, 2026 | India(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 26, 2026 | Nigeria(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Zambia U23(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Equatorial Guinea score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zimbabwe score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Zimbabwe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Equatorial Guinea sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Zimbabwe sit 2nd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Equatorial Guinea the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Zimbabwe.
- Where and when is Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe played?
- Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe is played on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.