Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on June 17, 2023 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo
Full time
What was the result of Equatorial Guinea vs Tunisia?
Equatorial Guinea won 1-0 on June 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 85′Emilio NsueEquatorial Guinea (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Equatorial Guinea have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tunisia have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | Botswana(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Botswana(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Togo(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Rwanda(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Libya(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | Libya(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Libya(home) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 30, 2022 | France(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Australia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Nov 22, 2022 | Denmark(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Equatorial Guinea win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Tunisia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2022 | Tunisia 4-0 Equatorial Guinea | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Tunisia | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Tunisia 3-0 Equatorial Guinea | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Tunisia 2-1 Equatorial Guinea | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Tunisia | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Tunisia 1-2 Equatorial Guinea | Africa Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Tunisia vs Equatorial Guinea on Jun 2, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Equatorial Guinea score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tunisia score 1.2 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Tunisia | 1.2 | 0.5 | 12 | 1/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Equatorial Guinea sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (8 points from 6 matches) and Tunisia sit 2nd (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tunisia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy