Liberia vs Zimbabwe: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on March 20, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Samuel Kanyon Doe Stadium, Monrovia
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liberia have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Zimbabwe have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2022 | Egypt(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Niger(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 13, 2022 | Morocco(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Burundi(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Sierra Leone(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | Guinea(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 14, 2022 | Malawi(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Senegal(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 2, 2022 | Sudan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Ethiopia(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Liberia win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Zimbabwe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2018 | Liberia 1-0 Zimbabwe | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 11, 2017 | Zimbabwe 3-0 Liberia | Africa Cup of Nations |
How many goals should we expect?
Liberia score 0.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zimbabwe score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberia | 0.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Zimbabwe | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liberia sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 6 matches) and Zimbabwe sit 2nd (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Liberia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy