Erbil vs Al Shorta: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Al Shorta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erbil wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erbil vs Al Shorta?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Erbil (1,676) and Al Shorta (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Erbil vs Al Shorta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Erbil
Not enough data to predict the Erbil lineup.
Al Shorta
4-2-3-1- 10L. Ateba
- 9Hussein Ali
- 14B. Moumouni
- 11Bassam Shakir
- 23K. Kuku
- 13B. Ngalamulume
- 4R. Ramírez
- 5Maytham Jabbar
- 15A. Yahya
- 25Atheer Salih
- 12Jalal Hassan Hachim
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Al Shorta have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ajman(away) | 4-5 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Seeb(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Erbil wins, 1 draw, 3 Al Shorta wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Shorta 0-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| May 20, 2026 | Al Shorta 0-2 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Erbil 1-0 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Erbil 0-2 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Al Shorta 4-1 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Erbil 2-4 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shorta score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Shorta | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 4th in Iraqi League (18 points from 9 matches) and Al Shorta sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
A question about Erbil vs Al Shorta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erbil vs Al Shorta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Al Shorta.
- Where and when is Erbil vs Al Shorta played?
- Erbil vs Al Shorta is played on April 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Franso Hariri Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.