Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Basra International Stadium, Basra
The Footlab AI model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Diyala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Minaa Basra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Al Minaa Basra (1,478) and Diyala (1,476).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Minaa Basra
Not enough data to predict the Al Minaa Basra lineup.
Diyala
Not enough data to predict the Diyala lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Minaa Basra have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Diyala have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Naft(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Al Minaa Basra win, 3 draws, 0 Diyala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Diyala | Iraqi League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Diyala 0-0 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Al Minaa Basra 3-0 Diyala | Iraqi League |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Diyala 1-1 Al Minaa Basra | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Minaa Basra score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Diyala score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa Basra | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Diyala | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Minaa Basra sit 8th in Iraqi League (12 points from 9 matches) and Diyala sit 11th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Minaa Basra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Minaa Basra the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Diyala.
- Where and when is Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala played?
- Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala is played on April 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Basra International Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.