Mosul vs Al Kahrabaa: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Mosul the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Al Kahrabaa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mosul wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosul vs Al Kahrabaa?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Mosul (1,483) and Al Kahrabaa (1,470).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mosul vs Al Kahrabaa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mosul
Not enough data to predict the Mosul lineup.
Al Kahrabaa
Not enough data to predict the Al Kahrabaa lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosul have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Al Kahrabaa have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Newroz(away) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mosul wins, 0 draws, 0 Al Kahrabaa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Mosul 2-1 Al Kahrabaa | Iraqi League |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Mosul | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mosul score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Kahrabaa score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosul | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Kahrabaa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosul sit 17th in Iraqi League (8 points from 9 matches) and Al Kahrabaa sit 14th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Al Kahrabaa | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Mosul vs Al Kahrabaa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosul vs Al Kahrabaa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mosul the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Al Kahrabaa.
- Where and when is Mosul vs Al Kahrabaa played?
- Mosul vs Al Kahrabaa is played on April 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.