Érdi VSE vs Pécsi MFC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, Érd
The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Érdi VSE. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Érdi VSE vs Pécsi MFC?
Pécsi MFC starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,705 vs 1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Érdi VSE have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Pécsi MFC have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 6-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Érdi VSE win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Pécsi MFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Pécsi MFC 7-2 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Érdi VSE 0-0 Pécsi MFC | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pécsi MFC vs Érdi VSE on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Érdi VSE score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pécsi MFC score 2.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Érdi VSE | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Pécsi MFC | 2.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Érdi VSE sit 9th in NB III - Southwest (5 points from 3 matches) and Pécsi MFC sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pécsi MFC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 9 | Érdi VSE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Érdi VSE vs Pécsi MFC?
- The Footlab model makes Pécsi MFC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Érdi VSE.
- Where and when is Érdi VSE vs Pécsi MFC played?
- Érdi VSE vs Pécsi MFC is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.