1860 München II vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 11Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Gilching, Gilching
The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Erlbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1860 München II vs Erlbach?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate 1860 München II (1,869) and Erlbach (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1860 München II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Landshut(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1860 München II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Erlbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | 1860 München II 4-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Erlbach 2-1 1860 München II | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Erlbach 1-1 1860 München II | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 9, 2024 | 1860 München II 0-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| May 3, 2024 | Erlbach 2-1 1860 München II | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 7, 2023 | 1860 München II 2-0 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: 1860 München II vs Erlbach on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1860 München II score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1860 München II | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Erlbach | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1860 München II sit 1st in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (72 points from 33 matches) and Erlbach sit 5th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1860 München II | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 76 | 25 | 72 |
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1860 München II vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Erlbach.
- Where and when is 1860 München II vs Erlbach played?
- 1860 München II vs Erlbach is played on September 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Gilching, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 18, 2026PipinsriedvsKirchanschöring
- Sep 18, 2026HeimstettenvsGundelfingen
- Sep 18, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaigvs1860 Rosenheim
- Sep 19, 2026SchwabmünchenvsDeisenhofen
- Sep 19, 2026PfaffenhofenvsHankofen-Hailing
- Sep 19, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsLandshut
- Sep 19, 2026KotternvsIsmaning
- Sep 19, 2026TuS Geretsriedvs1880 Wasserburg