Match

Erlbach vs Heimstetten: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 30Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach

ErlbachHeimstetten

The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Heimstetten. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erlbach wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erlbach vs Heimstetten?

On Elo ratings, Erlbach has 1,835 points and Heimstetten 1,769.

55%24%21%
Erlbach winDrawHeimstetten win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Erlbach vs Heimstetten

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Erlbach

Not enough data to predict the Erlbach lineup.

Heimstetten

4-3-3
  1. 70Mohamad Awata
  2. 38E. Tunc
  3. 29S. Burke
  1. 22L. Riglewski
  2. 27C. Weser
  3. 19M. Vrenezi
  1. 16S. Sengersdorf
  2. 5J. Maljojoki
  3. 17F. Sabbagh
  4. 32A. Fambo
  1. 1M. Riedmüller

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Heimstetten have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erlbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026TuS Geretsried(home)3-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 3, 2026Heimstetten(away)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 25, 2026Pipinsried(home)1-1Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 18, 20261860 München II(away)1-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 11, 2026Kottern(home)3-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Heimstetten
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Ismaning(away)2-3Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 3, 2026Erlbach(home)0-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 26, 2026Kirchanschöring(away)4-0Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 18, 2026Gundelfingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Sep 11, 20261880 Wasserburg(away)1-5Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Erlbach wins, 2 draws, 2 Heimstetten wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Heimstetten 0-0 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd
Apr 18, 2026Heimstetten 3-2 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 2, 2025Erlbach 0-2 HeimstettenOberliga - Bayern Süd
Nov 9, 2024Erlbach 3-0 HeimstettenOberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 30, 2024Heimstetten 1-1 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd
Mar 2, 2024Heimstetten 1-2 ErlbachOberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs Erlbach on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erlbach score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Heimstetten score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erlbach1.30.594/154/15
Heimstetten1.71.9311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erlbach sit 5th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (53 points from 32 matches) and Heimstetten sit 7th (51 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Erlbach3216511423553
7Heimstetten321499644651

A question about Erlbach vs Heimstetten?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs Heimstetten?
The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Heimstetten.
Where and when is Erlbach vs Heimstetten played?
Erlbach vs Heimstetten is played on April 27, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Erlbach and Heimstetten

Ready to know everything about football?