Where and when is Erlbach vs Heimstetten played?

Erlbach vs Heimstetten is played on April 27, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Erlbach vs Heimstetten: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 30Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach

Erlbach

Heimstetten

The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Heimstetten. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erlbach vs Heimstetten?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Erlbach (1,801) and Heimstetten (1,748).

Erlbach win50 %

Draw25 %

Heimstetten win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Heimstetten have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erlbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Kirchanschöring(away)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026	1880 Wasserburg(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Deisenhofen(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Heimstetten
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hankofen-Hailing(home)	0-4	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Schalding-Heining(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	Schwabmünchen(away)	3-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	TuS Geretsried(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 24, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)	1-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Erlbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Heimstetten win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Heimstetten 3-2 Erlbach	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Oct 2, 2025	Erlbach 0-2 Heimstetten	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Nov 9, 2024	Erlbach 3-0 Heimstetten	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 30, 2024	Heimstetten 1-1 Erlbach	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Mar 2, 2024	Heimstetten 1-2 Erlbach	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 11, 2023	Erlbach 1-1 Heimstetten	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Heimstetten vs Erlbach on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Erlbach	1.1	1.1	7	4/15	5/15
Heimstetten	1.6	1.5	5	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erlbach sit 5th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (53 points from 32 matches) and Heimstetten sit 7th (51 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Erlbach	32	16	5	11	42	35	53
7	Heimstetten	32	14	9	9	64	46	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs Heimstetten?: The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Heimstetten.
Where and when is Erlbach vs Heimstetten played?: Erlbach vs Heimstetten is played on April 27, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.