Kirchanschöring vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 30Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Alte Mühle, Kirchanschöring
The Footlab model makes Kirchanschöring the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kirchanschöring vs TuS Geretsried?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Kirchanschöring (1,772) and TuS Geretsried (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kirchanschöring have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ismaning(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kirchanschöring win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 TuS Geretsried win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kirchanschöring 1-1 TuS Geretsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 12, 2025 | TuS Geretsried 2-4 Kirchanschöring | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Kirchanschöring vs TuS Geretsried on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kirchanschöring score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirchanschöring | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| TuS Geretsried | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kirchanschöring sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (58 points from 32 matches) and TuS Geretsried sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kirchanschöring | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 67 | 35 | 58 |
| 11 | TuS Geretsried | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kirchanschöring vs TuS Geretsried?
- The Footlab model makes Kirchanschöring the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for TuS Geretsried.
- Where and when is Kirchanschöring vs TuS Geretsried played?
- Kirchanschöring vs TuS Geretsried is played on April 27, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Alte Mühle, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 27, 2027LandshutvsHankofen-Hailing
- Apr 27, 20271860 Rosenheimvs1860 München II
- Apr 27, 2027DeisenhofenvsPfaffenhofen
- Apr 27, 2027IsmaningvsPipinsried
- Apr 27, 2027KotternvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Apr 27, 2027ErlbachvsHeimstetten
- Apr 27, 2027GundelfingenvsSchwabmünchen
- Apr 27, 20271880 WasserburgvsSchalding-Heining