Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schalding-Heining: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Schalding-Heining. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schalding-Heining?
Sportfreunde Schwaig starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,754 vs 1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Schalding-Heining have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 1-8 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pipinsried(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Schalding-Heining win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Schalding-Heining 1-1 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 4-2 Schalding-Heining | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Schalding-Heining vs Sportfreunde Schwaig on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Schalding-Heining score 1.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Schalding-Heining | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and Schalding-Heining sit 13th (38 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
| 13 | Schalding-Heining | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43 | 50 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schalding-Heining?
- The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Schwaig the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Schalding-Heining.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schalding-Heining played?
- Sportfreunde Schwaig vs Schalding-Heining is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 26, 20271860 RosenheimvsKirchanschöring
- Mar 26, 20271860 München IIvs1880 Wasserburg
- Mar 27, 2027IsmaningvsErlbach
- Mar 27, 2027KotternvsGundelfingen
- Mar 27, 2027PipinsriedvsDeisenhofen
- Mar 27, 2027TuS GeretsriedvsHankofen-Hailing
- Mar 28, 2027SchwabmünchenvsPfaffenhofen