Pfaffenhofen vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 24Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs TuS Geretsried?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Pfaffenhofen (1,776) and TuS Geretsried (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pfaffenhofen have 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Pfaffenhofen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 TuS Geretsried win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TuS Geretsried 2-3 Pfaffenhofen | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: TuS Geretsried vs Pfaffenhofen on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pfaffenhofen score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pfaffenhofen | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 3/6 | 4/6 |
| TuS Geretsried | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | TuS Geretsried | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pfaffenhofen vs TuS Geretsried?
- The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for TuS Geretsried.
- Where and when is Pfaffenhofen vs TuS Geretsried played?
- Pfaffenhofen vs TuS Geretsried is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027ErlbachvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- Mar 19, 20271880 WasserburgvsKottern
- Mar 20, 2027Deisenhofenvs1860 München II
- Mar 20, 2027KirchanschöringvsIsmaning
- Mar 20, 2027Gundelfingenvs1860 Rosenheim
- Mar 20, 2027LandshutvsPipinsried
- Mar 20, 2027Schalding-HeiningvsSchwabmünchen
- Mar 20, 2027Hankofen-HailingvsHeimstetten