Ismaning vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, Ismaning
The Footlab model makes Ismaning the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Erlbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ismaning vs Erlbach?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Ismaning (1,720) and Erlbach (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ismaning have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ismaning win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Erlbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Erlbach 1-0 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Ismaning 3-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Ismaning 1-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Erlbach 0-0 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Erlbach 3-1 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Ismaning 0-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Ismaning score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismaning | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Erlbach | 1.1 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ismaning sit 12th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (42 points from 32 matches) and Erlbach sit 5th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
| 12 | Ismaning | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 58 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ismaning vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab model makes Ismaning the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Erlbach.
- Where and when is Ismaning vs Erlbach played?
- Ismaning vs Erlbach is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 25, 2027HeimstettenvsLandshut
- Mar 26, 20271860 RosenheimvsKirchanschöring
- Mar 26, 20271860 München IIvs1880 Wasserburg
- Mar 27, 2027PipinsriedvsDeisenhofen
- Mar 27, 2027KotternvsGundelfingen
- Mar 27, 2027TuS GeretsriedvsHankofen-Hailing
- Mar 27, 2027Sportfreunde SchwaigvsSchalding-Heining
- Mar 28, 2027SchwabmünchenvsPfaffenhofen