Ismaning vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 25Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, Ismaning
The Footlab AI model makes Ismaning the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Erlbach. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ismaning wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ismaning vs Erlbach?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Ismaning (1,747) and Erlbach (1,836).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ismaning vs Erlbach
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ismaning
Not enough data to predict the Ismaning lineup.
Erlbach
Not enough data to predict the Erlbach lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ismaning have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Erlbach have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heimstetten(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pipinsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kottern(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ismaning win, 2 draws, 3 Erlbach wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Erlbach 2-0 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Erlbach 1-0 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Ismaning 3-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Ismaning 1-1 Erlbach | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Erlbach 0-0 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Erlbach 3-1 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Ismaning score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismaning | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Erlbach | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ismaning sit 12th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (42 points from 32 matches) and Erlbach sit 5th (53 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
| 12 | Ismaning | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 58 | 42 |
A question about Ismaning vs Erlbach?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ismaning vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ismaning the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Erlbach.
- Where and when is Ismaning vs Erlbach played?
- Ismaning vs Erlbach is played on March 27, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 25, 2027HeimstettenvsLandshut
- Mar 26, 20271860 RosenheimvsKirchanschöring
- Mar 26, 20271860 München IIvs1880 Wasserburg
- Mar 27, 2027PipinsriedvsDeisenhofen
- Mar 27, 2027KotternvsGundelfingen
- Mar 27, 2027TuS GeretsriedvsHankofen-Hailing
- Mar 27, 2027Sportfreunde SchwaigvsSchalding-Heining
- Mar 28, 2027SchwabmünchenvsPfaffenhofen