Erzgebirge Aue vs FSV Zwickau: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs FSV Zwickau?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Erzgebirge Aue (1,840) and FSV Zwickau (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erzgebirge Aue have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FSV Zwickau have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luckenwalde(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Erzgebirge Aue win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FSV Zwickau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | FSV Zwickau 0-2 Erzgebirge Aue | 3. Liga |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Erzgebirge Aue 0-1 FSV Zwickau | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue on Mar 14, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Erzgebirge Aue score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Zwickau score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge Aue | 2.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| FSV Zwickau | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th in Regionalliga - Nordost (10 points from 5 matches) and FSV Zwickau sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erzgebirge Aue vs FSV Zwickau?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Erzgebirge Aue.
- Where and when is Erzgebirge Aue vs FSV Zwickau played?
- Erzgebirge Aue vs FSV Zwickau is played on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Erzgebirgsstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsGreifswalder FC
- Apr 25, 2027BFC PreussenvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 25, 2027BFC DynamovsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Apr 25, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Apr 25, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsHallescher FC
- Apr 25, 2027LuckenwaldevsAltglienicke
- Apr 25, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsRSV Eintracht
- Apr 25, 2027Magdeburg IIvsChemnitzer FC