FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Greifswalder FC: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Steigerwaldstadion, Erfurt
The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Greifswalder FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Greifswalder FC?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Greifswalder FC have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Luckenwalde(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 6-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hallescher FC(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Greifswalder FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC 1-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 10, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3-2 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Apr 12, 2025 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 2-0 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Greifswalder FC 1-2 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 28, 2024 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1-1 Greifswalder FC | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Greifswalder FC 1-1 FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Greifswalder FC vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Greifswalder FC score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Greifswalder FC | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 1st in Regionalliga - Nordost (16 points from 6 matches) and Greifswalder FC sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Greifswalder FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Greifswalder FC.
- Where and when is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Greifswalder FC played?
- FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Greifswalder FC is played on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Steigerwaldstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsFSV Zwickau
- Apr 25, 2027BFC PreussenvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 25, 2027BFC DynamovsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Apr 25, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Apr 25, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsHallescher FC
- Apr 25, 2027LuckenwaldevsAltglienicke
- Apr 25, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsRSV Eintracht
- Apr 25, 2027Magdeburg IIvsChemnitzer FC