Hertha BSC II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 31Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for BSG Chemie Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Hertha BSC II (1,793) and BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hertha BSC II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hertha BSC II 0-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 25, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 3-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 4, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 1-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 23, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 3-0 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Hertha BSC II 3-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC II score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC II | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nordost (4 points from 5 matches) and BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for BSG Chemie Leipzig.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig played?
- Hertha BSC II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig is played on April 25, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Erzgebirge AuevsFSV Zwickau
- Apr 25, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsGreifswalder FC
- Apr 25, 2027BFC PreussenvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Apr 25, 2027BFC DynamovsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Apr 25, 2027Lokomotive LeipzigvsHallescher FC
- Apr 25, 2027LuckenwaldevsAltglienicke
- Apr 25, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsRSV Eintracht
- Apr 25, 2027Magdeburg IIvsChemnitzer FC