FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erzgebirge Aue: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 32Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld, Jena
The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Erzgebirge Aue. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erzgebirge Aue?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,004 vs 1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Erzgebirge Aue have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BFC Preussen(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Erzgebirge Aue win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2024 | Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 17, 2014 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: Erzgebirge Aue vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena on Jul 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Erzgebirge Aue score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Erzgebirge Aue | 2.4 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 7th in Regionalliga - Nordost (9 points from 5 matches) and Erzgebirge Aue sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erzgebirge Aue | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erzgebirge Aue?
- The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Erzgebirge Aue.
- Where and when is FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erzgebirge Aue played?
- FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Erzgebirge Aue is played on May 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 9, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBFC Preussen
- May 9, 2027Hallescher FCvsMagdeburg II
- May 9, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsTasmania Berlin
- May 9, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
- May 9, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsGreifswalder FC
- May 9, 2027AltglienickevsLokomotive Leipzig
- May 9, 2027Hertha BSC IIvsLuckenwalde
- May 9, 2027RSV EintrachtvsBFC Dynamo