Match

Esan Pattaya vs Mahasarakham United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 32Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya

Esan PattayaMahasarakham United

The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Mahasarakham United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Mahasarakham United?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Mahasarakham United (1,460).

Esan Pattaya win47 %
Draw27 %
Mahasarakham United win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mahasarakham United have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Esan Pattaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Chainat(away)2-1Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Sisaket United(home)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Phrae United(away)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Kasetsart FC(home)3-0Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(away)1-1Thai League 2
Mahasarakham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Khon Kaen United(home)2-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Trat FC(away)0-2Thai League 2
Mar 18, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-3League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Esan Pattaya win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mahasarakham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 4, 2026Mahasarakham United 1-0 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Nov 8, 2025Esan Pattaya 2-3 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2
Jan 19, 2025Mahasarakham United 1-2 Esan PattayaThai League 2
Aug 31, 2024Esan Pattaya 1-1 Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Mahasarakham United vs Esan Pattaya on Mar 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mahasarakham United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Esan Pattaya1.51.157/158/15
Mahasarakham United1.21.164/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Esan Pattaya sit 12th in Thai League 2 (42 points from 34 matches) and Mahasarakham United sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Mahasarakham United3412913474245
12Esan Pattaya34101212454242

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Mahasarakham United?
The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Mahasarakham United.
Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Mahasarakham United played?
Esan Pattaya vs Mahasarakham United is played on April 4, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Esan Pattaya and Mahasarakham United

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