Chainat vs Satun: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 32Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chainat vs Satun?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Satun (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Satun?
- The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Satun.
- Where and when is Chainat vs Satun played?
- Chainat vs Satun is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 2, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Apr 3, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsChanthaburi
- Apr 3, 2027KanchanaburivsUttaradit
- Apr 3, 2027SongkhlavsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Apr 4, 2027Phrae UnitedvsPolice Tero
- Apr 4, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsChiangmai United
- Apr 4, 2027Esan PattayavsMahasarakham United
- Apr 4, 2027Muangthong UnitedvsKasetsart FC