Esan Pattaya vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Esan Pattaya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Muangthong United?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,453).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Muangthong United have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Muangthong United?
- The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Esan Pattaya.
- Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Muangthong United played?
- Esan Pattaya vs Muangthong United is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 26, 2027SongkhlavsKhon Kaen United
- Feb 27, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsNakhon Pathom
- Feb 27, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsKanchanaburi
- Feb 27, 2027Phrae UnitedvsChanthaburi
- Feb 28, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsKasetsart FC
- Feb 28, 2027ChainatvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Feb 28, 2027Police TerovsUttaradit
- Feb 28, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsSatun