Muangthong United vs Chainat: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Chainat. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Chainat?
Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,425).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 1 |
| May 1, 2026 | BG Pathum United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chonburi FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Muangthong United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chainat win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2019 | Muangthong United 3-0 Chainat | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Chainat 3-0 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Chainat 2-1 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| May 13, 2018 | Muangthong United 2-0 Chainat | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Chainat 1-2 Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Muangthong United 2-0 Chainat | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Chainat on Jul 31, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong United | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Chainat?
- The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Chainat.
- Where and when is Muangthong United vs Chainat played?
- Muangthong United vs Chainat is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 6, 2027ChanthaburivsPolice Tero
- Mar 6, 2027UttaraditvsMuang Loei United
- Mar 6, 2027SatunvsMahasarakham United
- Mar 7, 2027Kasetsart FCvsEsan Pattaya
- Mar 7, 2027Nakhon PathomvsChiangmai United
- Mar 7, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
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