Match

Muangthong United vs Chainat: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Thunder Dome Stadium, Nonthaburi

Muangthong UnitedChainat

The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Chainat. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muangthong United vs Chainat?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,425).

Muangthong United win64 %
Draw21 %
Chainat win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muangthong United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chainat have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muangthong United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Sukhothai FC(away)0-3Thai League 1
May 1, 2026BG Pathum United(home)1-1Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026Chonburi FC(away)0-0Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)2-1Thai League 1
Apr 5, 2026Chiangrai United(home)2-1Thai League 1
Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Muangthong United win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chainat win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2019Muangthong United 3-0 ChainatThai League 1
Apr 3, 2019Chainat 3-0 Muangthong UnitedThai League 1
Sep 22, 2018Chainat 2-1 Muangthong UnitedThai League 1
May 13, 2018Muangthong United 2-0 ChainatThai League 1
Sep 24, 2016Chainat 1-2 Muangthong UnitedThai League 1
Jun 12, 2016Muangthong United 2-0 ChainatThai League 1

Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Chainat on Jul 31, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Muangthong United0.81.638/158/15
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muangthong United vs Chainat?
The Footlab model makes Muangthong United the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Chainat.
Where and when is Muangthong United vs Chainat played?
Muangthong United vs Chainat is played on March 6, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Thunder Dome Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Muangthong United and Chainat

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