Where and when is Chainat vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?

Chainat vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chainat vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

Chainat

Nong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Chainat win45 %

Draw24 %

Nong Bua Pitchaya win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 2, 2026	Pattani(home)	1-3	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Esan Pattaya(home)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026	Trat FC(away)	3-3	Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026	Police Tero(home)	2-1	Thai League 2

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chainat win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 3, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Chainat	Thai League 2
Sep 20, 2025	Chainat 3-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Mar 10, 2024	Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 Chainat	Thai League 2
Nov 11, 2023	Chainat 1-2 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Mar 6, 2021	Chainat 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Oct 25, 2020	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 Chainat	Thai League 2

Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chainat on Feb 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chainat	1.3	1.8	1	12/15	9/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54
6	Chainat	34	12	10	12	50	46	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?: The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Chainat vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?: Chainat vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on February 28, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.