Esan Pattaya vs Satun: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on March 16, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nong Prue Stadium, Pattaya
The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Satun. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Satun?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Esan Pattaya (1,453) and Satun (1,421).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esan Pattaya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Satun have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chainat(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sisaket United(home) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Muang Trang United(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Esan Pattaya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Satun score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esan Pattaya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Satun | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Esan Pattaya | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esan Pattaya vs Satun?
- The Footlab model makes Esan Pattaya the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Satun.
- Where and when is Esan Pattaya vs Satun played?
- Esan Pattaya vs Satun is played on March 16, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nong Prue Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 16, 2027Muang Loei UnitedvsChanthaburi
- Mar 17, 2027ChainatvsChiangmai United
- Mar 17, 2027SongkhlavsNakhon Pathom
- Mar 17, 2027KanchanaburivsKasetsart FC
- Mar 17, 2027Nakhon Ratchasima FCvsNong Bua Pitchaya
- Mar 17, 2027Khon Kaen UnitedvsMuangthong United
- Mar 18, 2027Police TerovsMahasarakham United
- Mar 18, 2027Phrae UnitedvsUttaradit