Where and when is Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?

Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on March 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Nong Bua Pitchaya

The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Nong Bua Pitchaya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Nakhon Ratchasima FC (1,547) and Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511).

Nakhon Ratchasima FC win51 %

Draw25 %

Nong Bua Pitchaya win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Chonburi FC(away)	1-2	Thai League 1
May 2, 2026	Sukhothai FC(home)	1-0	Thai League 1
Apr 25, 2026	BG Pathum United(away)	0-1	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Muangthong United(away)	1-2	Thai League 1
Apr 11, 2026	Bangkok United(home)	1-0	Thai League 1

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2025	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Thai League 1
Sep 28, 2024	Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1
Apr 20, 2024	Nakhon Ratchasima FC 3-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Dec 23, 2023	Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-3 Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Thai League 2
Feb 11, 2023	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC	Thai League 1
Sep 10, 2022	Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1

Last archived meeting: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Feb 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nakhon Ratchasima FC	0.8	1.1	5	5/15	6/15
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?: The Footlab model makes Nakhon Ratchasima FC the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where and when is Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya played?: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya is played on March 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at His Majesty the King's 80th Birthday Anniversary 5th December 2007 Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.