Match

Chainat vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat

ChainatChiangmai United

The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chainat vs Chiangmai United?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Chiangmai United (1,430).

Chainat win46 %
Draw24 %
Chiangmai United win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chainat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pattani(away)1-2Thai League 2
May 2, 2026Pattani(home)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)1-2Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Trat FC(away)3-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Police Tero(home)2-1Thai League 2
Chiangmai United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)4-3Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-0Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Trat FC(home)0-1Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chainat win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Chiangmai United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 9, 2026Chainat 3-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Sep 28, 2025Chiangmai United 3-4 ChainatThai League 2
Feb 1, 2025Chainat 0-0 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Sep 22, 2024Chiangmai United 0-0 ChainatThai League 2
Feb 18, 2024Chainat 1-1 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Oct 21, 2023Chiangmai United 0-0 ChainatThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Chiangmai United on Feb 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chainat1.31.8112/159/15
Chiangmai United1.82.1210/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Chainat34121012504646
10Chiangmai United3414119555843

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Chiangmai United?
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United.
Where and when is Chainat vs Chiangmai United played?
Chainat vs Chiangmai United is played on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Chainat and Chiangmai United

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