Chainat vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Khao Plong Stadium, Chainat
The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chainat vs Chiangmai United?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Chainat (1,425) and Chiangmai United (1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chainat have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Pattani(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Pattani(home) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trat FC(away) | 3-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Police Tero(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 1-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Trat FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chainat win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Chiangmai United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Chainat 3-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Chiangmai United 3-4 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Chainat 0-0 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Chiangmai United 0-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Chainat 1-1 Chiangmai United | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Chiangmai United 0-0 Chainat | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chainat vs Chiangmai United on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chainat score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chainat | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Chiangmai United | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chainat sit 6th in Thai League 2 (46 points from 34 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chainat | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 46 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55 | 58 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chainat vs Chiangmai United?
- The Footlab model makes Chainat the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chiangmai United.
- Where and when is Chainat vs Chiangmai United played?
- Chainat vs Chiangmai United is played on March 17, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Khao Plong Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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