Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Bandırmaspor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Esenler Erokspor (1,906) and Bandırmaspor (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esenler Erokspor have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Bandırmaspor have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Esenler Erokspor win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bandırmaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 0-0 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 1-0 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bandırmaspor score 1.1 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Bandırmaspor | 1.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esenler Erokspor sit 11th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Bandırmaspor sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bandırmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Bandırmaspor.
- Where and when is Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor played?
- Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.