Manisa F.K. vs Sarıyer: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, Manisa
The Footlab AI model makes Manisa F.K. the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Sarıyer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manisa F.K. wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,854 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Sarıyer?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Manisa F.K. (1,784) and Sarıyer (1,803).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manisa F.K. vs Sarıyer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manisa F.K.
4-1-4-1- 9C. Sylla
- 23J. Anziani
- 20Y. Benrahou
- 60B. Touré
- 10J. Lindseth
- 7Y. Talum
- 5C. Hérelle
- 6A. Çankaya
- 3O. Kaynak
- 27Y. Güreler
- 1V. Karakuş
Sarıyer
4-2-3-1- 90E. Eze
- 10E. Karaca
- 28H. Yeşilyurt
- 8Marcos Silva
- 41F. Gedik
- 14T. Ergül
- 5E. Korkmazoğlu
- 24K. Arslan
- 88C. Osmanpaşa
- 77C. Karayel
- 13I. Šehić
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 11:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manisa F.K. have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sarıyer have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 3-4 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 1-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Manisa F.K. wins, 3 draws, 0 Sarıyer wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Manisa F.K. 3-0 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sarıyer 0-0 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2021 | Sarıyer 0-0 Manisa F.K. | 2. Lig |
| Dec 30, 2020 | Manisa F.K. 1-1 Sarıyer | 2. Lig |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Sarıyer 2-3 Manisa F.K. | 2. Lig |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Manisa F.K. 2-0 Sarıyer | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Manisa F.K. vs Sarıyer on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manisa F.K. score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sarıyer score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manisa F.K. | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sarıyer | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manisa F.K. sit 17th in 1. Lig (13 points from 14 matches) and Sarıyer sit 11th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sarıyer | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 24 | 13 |
A question about Manisa F.K. vs Sarıyer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manisa F.K. vs Sarıyer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manisa F.K. the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Sarıyer.
- Where and when is Manisa F.K. vs Sarıyer played?
- Manisa F.K. vs Sarıyer is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.