İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes İstanbulspor the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Sivasspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate İstanbulspor (1,812) and Sivasspor (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, İstanbulspor have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sivasspor have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 8-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 İstanbulspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sivasspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Sivasspor 1-3 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 7, 2025 | İstanbulspor 2-1 Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
| May 17, 2024 | İstanbulspor 1-3 Sivasspor | Süper Lig |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Sivasspor 1-0 İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
| Mar 13, 2023 | İstanbulspor 3-0 Sivasspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Sivasspor 1-1 İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Sivasspor vs İstanbulspor on Apr 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
İstanbulspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sivasspor score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Sivasspor | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
İstanbulspor sit 19th in 1. Lig (1 points from 3 matches) and Sivasspor sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sivasspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor?
- The Footlab model makes İstanbulspor the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Sivasspor.
- Where and when is İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor played?
- İstanbulspor vs Sivasspor is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.