Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Sivasspor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor?
Esenler Erokspor starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,906 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esenler Erokspor have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sivasspor have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Esenler Erokspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sivasspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor 0-0 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Sivasspor 1-3 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 2-1 Sivasspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Sivasspor 5-2 Esenler Erokspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 18, 2019 | Sivasspor 0-1 Esenler Erokspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 3, 2019 | Esenler Erokspor 0-2 Sivasspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sivasspor score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Sivasspor | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esenler Erokspor sit 11th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Sivasspor sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Sivasspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor?
- The Footlab model makes Esenler Erokspor the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Sivasspor.
- Where and when is Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor played?
- Esenler Erokspor vs Sivasspor is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Esenler Erokspor Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.