Kayserispor vs Vanspor FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu, Kayseri
The Footlab model makes Kayserispor the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kayserispor vs Vanspor FK?
Kayserispor starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kayserispor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Vanspor FK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Kayserispor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Vanspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vanspor FK 0-2 Kayserispor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Kayserispor 4-0 Vanspor FK | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 19, 2017 | Vanspor FK 0-1 Kayserispor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Vanspor FK vs Kayserispor on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kayserispor score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kayserispor sit 1st in 1. Lig (9 points from 3 matches) and Vanspor FK sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kayserispor vs Vanspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Kayserispor the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is Kayserispor vs Vanspor FK played?
- Kayserispor vs Vanspor FK is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.