Fatih Karagümrük vs Iğdır FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Fatih Karagümrük the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Iğdır FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fatih Karagümrük vs Iğdır FK?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Fatih Karagümrük (1,869) and Iğdır FK (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatih Karagümrük have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Iğdır FK have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kocaelispor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Amed(home) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Fatih Karagümrük win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Iğdır FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Iğdır FK 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük | 1. Lig |
| May 10, 2025 | Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Iğdır FK 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fatih Karagümrük score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Iğdır FK score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Iğdır FK | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fatih Karagümrük sit 6th in 1. Lig (6 points from 3 matches) and Iğdır FK sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fatih Karagümrük | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fatih Karagümrük vs Iğdır FK?
- The Footlab model makes Fatih Karagümrük the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Iğdır FK.
- Where and when is Fatih Karagümrük vs Iğdır FK played?
- Fatih Karagümrük vs Iğdır FK is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.