Sarıyer vs Esenler Erokspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Esenler Erokspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarıyer vs Esenler Erokspor?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Sarıyer (1,826) and Esenler Erokspor (1,906).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarıyer have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Esenler Erokspor have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sarıyer(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sarıyer win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Esenler Erokspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarıyer 1-0 Esenler Erokspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarıyer score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 1.5 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Esenler Erokspor | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarıyer sit 9th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Esenler Erokspor sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarıyer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Esenler Erokspor | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarıyer vs Esenler Erokspor?
- The Footlab model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Esenler Erokspor.
- Where and when is Sarıyer vs Esenler Erokspor played?
- Sarıyer vs Esenler Erokspor is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.