Eskilsminne vs Tvååker: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 22Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Harlyckans IP, Helsingborg
The Footlab model makes Tvååker the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Eskilsminne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eskilsminne vs Tvååker?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Eskilsminne (1,568) and Tvååker (1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eskilsminne have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tvååker have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utsikten(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 3-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rosengård(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Kristianstad(home) | 3-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kristianstad(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Utsikten(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(away) | 2-4 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eskilsminne win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tvååker win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Tvååker 1-0 Eskilsminne | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Tvååker 2-1 Eskilsminne | Ettan - Södra |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Eskilsminne 0-0 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Eskilsminne 1-0 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Tvååker 1-0 Eskilsminne | Ettan - Södra |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Eskilsminne 3-1 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: Tvååker vs Eskilsminne on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eskilsminne score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tvååker score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eskilsminne | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Tvååker | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eskilsminne sit 8th in Ettan - Södra (25 points from 18 matches) and Tvååker sit 7th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tvååker | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
| 8 | Eskilsminne | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 31 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eskilsminne vs Tvååker?
- The Footlab model makes Tvååker the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Eskilsminne.
- Where and when is Eskilsminne vs Tvååker played?
- Eskilsminne vs Tvååker is played on September 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Harlyckans IP, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.