Skövde AIK vs Trollhättan: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 22Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Södermalms IP, Skövde
The Footlab model makes Trollhättan the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Skövde AIK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skövde AIK vs Trollhättan?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Skövde AIK (1,509) and Trollhättan (1,538).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skövde AIK have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Trollhättan have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kristianstad(home) | 3-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lund(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 1-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Lund(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trelleborg(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Laholm(home) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Laholm(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stenungsund(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Skövde AIK win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Trollhättan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Trollhättan 1-1 Skövde AIK | Ettan - Södra |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Skövde AIK 1-5 Trollhättan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Skövde AIK 1-2 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Trollhättan 6-1 Skövde AIK | Ettan - Södra |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Skövde AIK 0-1 Trollhättan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Trollhättan 2-1 Skövde AIK | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Trollhättan vs Skövde AIK on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Skövde AIK score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Trollhättan score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skövde AIK | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Trollhättan | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skövde AIK sit 12th in Ettan - Södra (20 points from 18 matches) and Trollhättan sit 11th (22 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trollhättan | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 22 |
| 12 | Skövde AIK | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skövde AIK vs Trollhättan?
- The Footlab model makes Trollhättan the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Skövde AIK.
- Where and when is Skövde AIK vs Trollhättan played?
- Skövde AIK vs Trollhättan is played on September 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Södermalms IP, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.