Rosengård vs Trelleborg: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 22Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Rosengårds IP (Södra), Malmö
The Footlab model makes Trelleborg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Rosengård. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosengård vs Trelleborg?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Rosengård (1,560) and Trelleborg (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosengård have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Trelleborg have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Utsikten(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eskilsminne(away) | 0-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jonkopings Sodra(home) | 4-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA 2000(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trollhättan(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eskilsminne(home) | 1-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Malmo(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lund(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al Diriyah(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Rosengård win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Trelleborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Trelleborg 3-2 Rosengård | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 18, 2021 | Rosengård 0-3 Trelleborg | Svenska Cupen |
Last archived meeting: Trelleborg vs Rosengård on Jun 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rosengård score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trelleborg score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengård | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Trelleborg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosengård sit 6th in Ettan - Södra (28 points from 18 matches) and Trelleborg sit 1st (36 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Rosengård | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosengård vs Trelleborg?
- The Footlab model makes Trelleborg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Rosengård.
- Where and when is Rosengård vs Trelleborg played?
- Rosengård vs Trelleborg is played on September 17, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Rosengårds IP (Södra), in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.