ESMTK vs Csepel: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)ESMTK Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes ESMTK the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Csepel. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ESMTK vs Csepel?
ESMTK starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,689 vs 1,477).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ESMTK vs Csepel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ESMTK
4-3-3- 21Janos Molnar
- 11Krisztian Schildkraut
- 13Alex Burzi
- 7Richard Slezak
- 10Bence Soos
- 4Balazs Zsemlye
- 20Robert Molnar
- 23Tamas Molnar
- 24Peter Szahl
- 18Vladimir Desnica
- 1A. Bencze
Csepel
Not enough data to predict the Csepel lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ESMTK have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Csepel have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Honvéd II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(away) | 4-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dabas(home) | 6-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lebeny SE(away) | 7-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Dabas(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Szeged-Csanád II(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vasas II(away) | 0-6 | NB III - Southeast |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villány(away) | 3-1 | Magyar Kupa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 ESMTK wins, 0 draws, 3 Csepel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel 2-1 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Nov 23, 2025 | ESMTK 1-2 Csepel | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Csepel 2-0 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
ESMTK score 3.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Csepel score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESMTK | 3.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Csepel | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ESMTK sit 3rd in NB III - Southeast (24 points from 11 matches) and Csepel sit 7th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ESMTK | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 10 | 24 |
| 7 | Csepel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 14 |
A question about ESMTK vs Csepel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ESMTK vs Csepel?
- The Footlab AI model makes ESMTK the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Csepel.
- Where and when is ESMTK vs Csepel played?
- ESMTK vs Csepel is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at ESMTK Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.