ESMTK vs Vasas II: prediction and stats
NB III - SoutheastSoutheast - 7Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ESMTK Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Vasas II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ESMTK vs Vasas II?
ESMTK starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ESMTK have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Vasas II have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Algyő SK(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BKV Előre(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Csepel(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hódmezővásárhely(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monori Se(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Honvéd II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Újpest II(home) | 3-5 | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Szolnoki MAV FC(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southeast |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szegedi VSE(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-4 | NB III - Southeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 ESMTK win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vasas II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vasas II 0-5 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 27, 2025 | ESMTK 2-0 Vasas II | NB III - Southeast |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Vasas II 2-4 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Aug 11, 2024 | ESMTK 3-2 Vasas II | NB III - Southeast |
| May 19, 2024 | Vasas II 2-1 ESMTK | NB III - Southeast |
| Nov 5, 2023 | ESMTK 1-2 Vasas II | NB III - Southeast |
How many goals should we expect?
ESMTK score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vasas II score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESMTK | 2.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Vasas II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ESMTK sit 6th in NB III - Southeast (7 points from 4 matches) and Vasas II sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ESMTK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Vasas II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ESMTK vs Vasas II?
- The Footlab model makes ESMTK the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Vasas II.
- Where and when is ESMTK vs Vasas II played?
- ESMTK vs Vasas II is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ESMTK Stadion, in the NB III - Southeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.